The latest number means headline retail inflation has now spent 35 consecutive months above the medium-term target of 4 percent and eight straight months outside the 2-6 percent tolerance range of the Reserve Bank of India
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Struggling with customers unable to pay on time and plummeting sales, Indian small-business owner Ravi Jain fears the government's crackdown on cash will have a much larger impact than predicted by top policymakers.
Chief Economic Adviser Arvind Subramanian, who has proposed setting up a public asset rehabilitation agency to fix the balance sheets of both struggling banks and indebted companies, said the government was in touch with the RBI on the matter.
The market went for a strong run after the shift in stance by RBI from accommodative to neutral but UR Bhat of Dalton Capital says he is unsure if this can be sustained. According to him, US President Donald Trump‘s policies pose a huge risk for the market.
A Reuters poll last week, conducted before the government presented its annual Budget, showed 28 of 46 participants expected the RBI on Wednesday to cut the repo rate by 25 basis points to 6.0 percent, its lowest since November 2010. Another two expected a 50 bps cut.
The six-member panel, which brainstormed over two days, unanimously agreed that inflation was unlikely to gallop past the tolerance threshold of 6 percent in the next few months.
Persistently, low oil prices have affected overseas workers‘ income. About half of India‘s USD 70 billion-odd NRI remittances originate from the Gulf countries, the region worst affected by record-low crude oil prices and subdued global economic activity.
The August inflation number clearly gives the new governor space to open his account on a friendly note with an interest rate cut. The more tricky part to guess is whether the governor will resist the pressure to cut again in the December 6 policy.
The markets made an effort Thursday to follow an old adage on Dalal Street –‘Buy the rumour Sell the fact‘ when the GST Bill was passed in Rajya Sabha, but it failed as the benchmark clawed into the green and triggered a massive short covering on Friday that marked the highest closing this year.
Reaching the target may be easy, but will the central be able to keep a leash on inflation without supportive fiscal policies?
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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is meeting for its bi-monthly monetary policy review for the first time this fiscal. Catch live updates here.
To provide a boost to the Swachh Bharat Abhiyan, the government has imposed SBC of 0.5 percent on all services liable for service tax, effective November 15, 2015.
Hemindra Hazari recommends avoiding the entire financial intermediary space because there is still lot of pain to come but if institutional investors have to be in the space then one should look at HDFC Bank and Kotak Mahindra Bank.